GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
The stage is set
Research evidence excerpt
The stage is set
Macquarie Equity Research MARA
Key Risks to Investment Thesis Company Description
• Sudden weakness in btc pricing as a result of changes MARA operates bitcoin mining business and was incorporated
in investor sentiment, macro volatility, regulation or in the State of Nevada in 2010 as Verve Ventures. The
other exogenous shocks. This negatively impacts both company took on a variety of other names as it participated
margins and digital assets held in treasury, the former in several different industries until entering the bitcoin
generally supportive of meeting both working capital and mining business in 2017. MARA's executive offices are in Fort
expansionary capex investment needs. Lauderdale, FL, and the company has physical operations
• Major step-ups in global network hashrate ahead of our across Texas, North Dakota, and Nebraska, along with JV
forecasts. interests in the Middle East and South America.
• Sudden increases in interest rates and consequential
impacts on tech multiples and risk assets generally. A
longer-dated risk of this is scope for higher interest rates
should the appetite of mainstream lenders for the sector
increase.
• Local data center and crypto-mining regulation impacting
the ability of miners to operate in certain jurisdictions,
procure the energy required for mining, or restrict the use
of btc, impacting revenues from btc rewards received in the
mining process.
• Risk of power pricing to become unfavorable, driving
suboptimal margins and use of cash. This would be
exacerbated for insufficiently priced hosting contracts/
operations.
• Should equity issuance be needed to fund growth capital,
this may yield a dilutive result if btc price fluctuations and/
or network difficulty negatively impact returns on hardware
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