GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Mowi: Post Results Agenda
Research evidence excerpt
Mowi: Post Results Agenda
Equity Research
European Consumer Staples
13 May 2026
Mowi
Post Results Agenda
First LookSupply is moderating from an unsustainably strong Q1, with
growth expected to slow sharply, although inventory
overhang implies a gradual rebalancing. Management MOWI.OL/MOWI NO OVERWEIGHT European Consumer
Staplesindicated middle East disruptions posing only limited, NEUTRAL
Price Target NOK 245.00
manageable risk given stable demand and modest freight Price (12-May-26) NOK 194.50
exposure. Potential Upside/Downside +26.0%
Source: Bloomberg, Barclays Research
April supply data point to moderation: Industry supply growth of c.+14% in Q1 (adj.) was well
European Consumer Staplesabove market capacity, weighing on pricing despite solid operational delivery, with Mowi
Setu Sharda
explicitly flagging this as a key driver of weakness. Importantly, management characterised this
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surge as temporary, driven by “exceptionally good growth in the sea last year,” with supply now setu.sharda@barclays.com
“finally normalised.” Looking ahead, both Mowi and Kontali expect growth to slow materially, to Barclays, UK
~0% for the remainder of 2026 and ~1% in 2027. This is supported by stable biomass YoY and
Alex Sloane
fewer harvest-ready cohorts globally, underpinning confidence that volume growth will “come a
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lot down” from here. April data was indicated to be in line with these expectations. That said, alexander.sloane@barclays.com
management cautioned that supply dynamics are not solely a function of biology, flagging Barclays, UK
elevated inventory levels that will still need to clear into the market. As such, the rebalancing is
Warren Ackerman
likely to be gradual, though early signs remain constructive.
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