GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Watches of Switzerland (AO) | Hold | Sales beat on US surge, UK rebound, FY27 margin guide ahead of street
Research evidence excerpt
Watches of Switzerland (AO) | Hold | Sales beat on US surge, UK rebound, FY27 margin guide ahead of street
Watches of Switzerland Hold | Target Price: 430p
Company description Management
The Watches of Switzerland Group is the world's second-biggest retailer of Rolex, Brian Duffy, CEO
the world's largest and best-known luxury watch brand. From its roots in the UK, Anders Romberg, CFO
the company is expanding into the US through M&A, as well as store expansion
and renovations, with the two markets now roughly the same size. It has an
extensive Rolex CPO (pre-owned) programme, contributing to growth. It Key shareholders
acquired the US distribution of Italian jewellery company Roberto Coin to reduce Free float 100.00%
its dependence on watches.
Investment case Valuation methodology
Over half of the group's retail sales come from Rolex, the world's We use a mix of valuation methodologies such as multiples
biggest luxury watch brand, where annual demand exceeds compared to peers and a DCF.
supply and there are waiting lists for products. We use different groups when looking at multiples, including UK
We believe that concerns Rolex will move to own retail following retailers, luxury retailers, watchmakers, and other luxury goods
its acquisition of Bucherer are fading but we are concerned groups.
about Rolex and other brands squeezing the margin for its We include a 25% discount in our DCF to reflect the risks
distributors in the US amid tariffs. associated with its reliance on Rolex.
We assume the US will slow from recent growth levels. Risks to our rating
Catalysts Rolex moves to own retail.
Watches of Switzerland Group issues trading updates on top of Any problems with suppliers leading to reduced product or
its H1 and FY results. reduced margin.
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