GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Gestamp (AO) | Hold | Q1 earnings in line, FY guidance reiterated
Research evidence excerpt
Gestamp (AO) | Hold | Q1 earnings in line, FY guidance reiterated
Gestamp Hold | Target Price: EUR3.20
Company description Management
Gestamp is a Spanish family-owned company, supplying metal components and Francisco J. Riberas, Executive Chairman
assemblies (body-in-white, chassis and mechanisms) to over 15 OEMs. Founded Ignacio Mosquera, CFO
in 1997, the group has more than 100 plants, 13 R&D centres and employs over Key shareholders
41,000 people worldwide. Free float 26.00%
Acek 23.66%
Gestamp 2020 50.10%
Investment case Valuation methodology
We expect 2026 to be another challenging year for Gestamp, We use a multi-criteria valuation analysis for most names in
with volumes in key markets (Europe, NAFTA, China) set to Autos, usually looking at P/E and EV metrics versus peers and
decline, rising input costs and FX headwinds all implying limited history, taking into account short-term growth and return
profitability improvement. dynamics.
As a result, management will continue to prioritise cost actions We cross-check with a standard ten-year DCF valuation (10.6%
and capex discipline to support FCF generation and balance WACC, 2% terminal growth).
sheet deleveraging. At our TP, the shares would trade at 7.7x earnings and EV/EBIT
Gestamp is one of the few suppliers for which electrification is 2026E.
neutral to positive, given its leadership in light-weighting Risks to our rating
technologies. Lower-than-expected FCF generation.
Catalysts Global macro scenario largely driving global light vehicle
Monthly macro (ISM, confidence, etc.) and sector data production scenario.
(registrations, etc.). Evolution of raw material prices and forex.
Next set of earnings.
Key data charts
Price performance Sales split by region Sales split by division
SWOT analysis
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