GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Q2/26 Update – Well Positioned For Arrow Construction; PCE MRE Targeted In 2027
Research evidence excerpt
Q2/26 Update – Well Positioned For Arrow Construction; PCE MRE Targeted In 2027
Metals & Minerals
NexGen Energy Ltd.
TD SECURITIES INC. - CANADA EARNINGS UPDATE
May 11, 2026
Price: C$16.61 (05/8/2026) Q2/26 Update – Well Positioned For Arrow
Price Target: C$20.00 Construction; PCE MRE Targeted In 2027
BUY (1)
ESG SCORE: 62/100
Craig Hutchison, P. Eng^ THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
416 982 3474
We continue to view 2026 as a transformative year for NexGen, with construction expected to
craig.hutchison@tdsecurities.com
begin this summer. We expect PCE to remain a key catalyst through 2026, alongside progress
Dennis Zhang^ in contracting activity, construction updates and further advancement of the project financing
416 965 6012 mix. Our Buy rating and $20 target price remain unchanged.
dennis.zhang@tdsecurities.com
Key Data Impact: NEUTRAL
Symbol TSX: NXE-T
Construction commencement remains on track for summer 2026. Management highlighted
12-Month Div (Est.): C$0.00
that construction readiness is well advanced and expects to provide a detailed construction
Beta: 1.69
timeline likely in June. Notably, management does not anticipate any material updates to the
12-Month Total
20.4% $2.2B capex outlined in the 2024 economic update. We currently model $2.7B capex build,Return:
52-Week Range: C$18.84-C$7.52 with first production anticipated in 2031.
Market Cap: C$11.0B
Robust balance sheet supports Arrow development. The company ended Q1/26 with $655M
Net Debt (MM): C$58.5
in cash and 2.7Mlbs of physical uranium valued at US$232M (~US$86/lb). As a reminder,
Dil. Shares Out (MM): 699.9
management previously indicated that expected capex during the first 12 months of Arrow
Float Shares (mm): 639.8 construction would be ~$300M. We believe the company’s strong balance sheet, supported
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