GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
KDDI: Mar Q Results: Stable Profit Growth and Strong Shareholder Returns; Continued Medium-Term Momentum Confirmed
Research evidence excerpt
KDDI: Mar Q Results: Stable Profit Growth and Strong Shareholder Returns; Continued Medium-Term Momentum Confirmed
Update
May 12, 2026 09:55 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd.+MKDDI (9433) | Japan Tetsuro Tsusaka, CFA
Equity Analyst
Mar Q Results: Stable Profit Tetsuro.Tsusaka@morganstanleymufg.comLuyuan Yang, CFA +81 3 6836-8412
Luyuan.Yang@morganstanleymufg.com +81 3 6836-8423
Growth and Strong Shareholder Keiji Nishimura
Research Associate
Keiji.Nishimura@morganstanleymufg.com +81 3 6836-8424
Returns; Continued Medium-
KDDI (9433.T, 9433 JT)
Telecommunications | JapanTerm Momentum Confirmed
Stock Rating Overweight
Industry View In-Line
Price target ¥2,750
Reaction to earnings Shr price, close (May 12, 2026) ¥2,530
Mkt cap, curr, basic (bn) ¥10,593.2
Unchanged In-line Largely unchanged Avg daily trading value (bn) ¥22.4
Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Vs. Forecasts: F3/27 profit guidance was largely in line with market expectations.
OP +5% YoY, with high visibility supported by both business growth and pricing
improvements this fiscal year.
Earnings Surprise: Shareholder returns were a key highlight, including a 5%
dividend increase and a ¥300bn share buyback. Total shareholder payout ratio is
close to 100%. As earnings enter a phase of stable growth, KDDI is delivering a very
high level of shareholder returns.
Recommended Action: Stable earnings growth and strong shareholder returns
should continue to support steady share price performance.
Medium-Term Plan: 3-year profit growth: +5% CAGR. Mobile and fixed-line
communications are expected to deliver stable growth as the telecom core business.
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