GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
DSV A/S: CMD targets ahead of consensus. Execution matters. Multiple does not reflect upside optionality.
Research evidence excerpt
DSV A/S: CMD targets ahead of consensus. Execution matters. Multiple does not reflect upside optionality.
Update
May 12, 2026 07:21 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+MDSV A/S | Europe Cedar Ekblom, CFA
Equity Analyst
CMD targets ahead of Cedar.Ekblom@morganstanley.comPeter Ajose-Adeogun +44 20 7425-4623
Peter.Ajose-Adeogun@morganstanley.com +44 20 7677-1618
consensus. Execution matters.
DSV A/S (DSV.CO, DSV DC)
ADRDSDVY.PKMultiple does not reflect upside Transport | Denmark
Stock Rating Overweight
Industry View In-Lineoptionality. Price target DKr 2,100.00
Shr price, close (May 11, 2026) DKr 1,540.50
52-Week Range DKr 1,913.50-
Key Takeaways 1,233.00
Mkt cap, curr (mn) DKr 363,803
45% 2030 group conversion margin compares to consensus of 41%. Net debt (12/26e) (mn)* DKr 78,222
EV, curr (mn)* DKr 448,835
20% pre tax ROIC by 2030 implies ~DKK42bn EBIT on our 2030 IC estimate. * = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP
Implies ~10% upside to 2030e MSe EBIT.
DKK9bn incremental productivity savings. Plans to harmonise IT systems to
enable AI roll-out.
No buyback announced today, our base case remains a restart in H1 2027.
Expect modest positive reaction, optionality if executed. We rate shares
Overweight.
DSV introduces 2030 financial targets centred on conversion and ROIC, guiding to
~45% group conversion and ~20% ROIC.
How these compare vs. MSe and consensus: Targets are modestly ahead of
consensus in 2030. Assuming no change to revenue estimates, delivering a 45%
conversion margin in 2030 will drive a ~10% uplift to 2030 consensus EBIT. Our
estimates sit modestly ahead of consensus.
Opinion: We would expect shares to react positively to these mid term ambitions
but do think that execution will be key, especially after costs came in higher than
expected in Q1.
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