GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Eve Flight Campaign Moving Forward + Solid Liquidity Supports Our OW; Dec-26 PT Unchanged at US$6.00
Research evidence excerpt
Eve Flight Campaign Moving Forward + Solid Liquidity Supports Our OW; Dec-26 PT Unchanged at US$6.00
Marcelo Motta AC Latin America Equity Research
(55-11) 4950-6712 11 May 2026 J P M O R G A N
marcelo.g.motta@jpmorgan.com
Price Performance Summary Investment Thesis and Valuation
Investment Thesis
We remain OW on the stock due to: i) EVE’s business model
continuous de-risking with its eVTOL accumulating ~60 flight
tests - >2 hours; ii) Company maintains a leadership position
with a potential backlog market share of 13% represented by
LOIs totaling ~2.7k units valued at US$13.5bn at list prices plus
US$1.6bn in services backlog; iii) Strong liquidity position of
over US$570mn enough to fund operations until 2027 including
undrawn credit lines vs an annual burn of ~US$250mn; and iv)
Embraer’s continuous support on the development and
YTD 1m 3m 12m certification of its eVTOL. Despite our positive view on the
Abs -21.8% 15.6% 1.6% -19.6% company and the segment, we flag that the certification process
Rel -37.5% 6.4% -5.9% -56.8%
and eVTOL adoption still represent question marks since it is a
Company Data nascent industry, which could significantly impact Eve’s value.
Shares O/S (mn) 370
Valuation52-week range ($) 7.70-2.34
Market cap ($ mn) 1,153.25 Our Dec 2026 price target of US$6.00 is based on the average of
Exchange rate 1.00 three approaches: i) DCF model; ii) total addressable market
Free float (%) 26.0%
3M ADV (mn) 1.29 approach; and iii) target multiple, with all discounted at 21.0%
3M ADV ($ mn) 3.6 (vs 20% prior, in order to reflect the existing uncertainties in the
Volatility (90 Day) 65 segment, including the recent postponement in ramp-up and
Index RUSSELL 2000
BBG ANR (Buy | Hold | Sell) 6|3|0 LOI cancelation). In our multiple valuation, we considered 8x
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