GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
DTC Mix Drives Q1 Beat; PT Adjusted for Take-Private Overhang
Research evidence excerpt
DTC Mix Drives Q1 Beat; PT Adjusted for Take-Private Overhang
Company Report
May 13, 2026 DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. (DDI)
Rating: DTC Mix Drives Q1 Beat; PT Adjusted for Take-PrivateOUTPERFORM OverhangPrice:
$11.55
12-Month Price Target: The Wedbush View
$15.00 (from $21.00)
DoubleDown's business model continues to benefit from acquisitions against a
Analysts maturing user base and considerable competition in the social casino space,
Alicia Reese with management indicating future deals would step up in size from the $65
212-938-9927 million WHOW transaction and may extend beyond social casino and iGaming.Alicia.Reese@wedbush.com The company's ability to monetize its base, converting nearly 10% of active usersKade Barr
(310) 876-9861 into payers, remains impressive and tracks well ahead of industry averages. The
kade.barr@wedbush.com primary contributor to the Q1 EBITDA beat was the favorable mix-shift toward
Matthew McCartney DTC, which crossed 44% of social casino revenue (up from 33% in Q4:25), with
(212) 738-7402 management indicating no near-term ceiling on further penetration. SuprNation
matthew.mccartney@wedbush.com continues to scale, though we expect the UK Remote Gaming Duty increase (21% to
40%, effective April 1) to constrain near-term profitability as management targets
segment breakeven post-mitigation. With approximately $500 million of net cashCompany Information
Market Cap (M) $572 available for further M&A, we maintain our OUTPERFORM rating but lower our
Enterprise Value (M) $117 price target to $15 from $21 to reflect the probability-weighted outcome between
our standalone valuation and the pending take-private proposal. Our standalone REV (M) in $
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