Towards Genuine Coexistence: Per-Satellite Emission and Radiation Limits to Protect Radio Astronomy and Geodetic VLBI at 1-14 GHz from Satellite Constellations

Abstract

Geodetic very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) is a vulnerable application of the radio astronomy service (RAS): it provides the fundamental link between the celestial and terrestrial reference frames, and is the only technique that uniquely determines UT1-UTC. The next-generation geodetic VLBI Global Observing System (VGOS) achieves millimetre accuracy by synthesising group delay across 3-14 GHz using 32x32 MHz channels, most of which lie outside RAS primary allocations. The SNIFFLES-I survey (Indermuehle et al 2026) measured intended emissions, unwanted emissions (spurious emissions, notably harmonics), and unintended electromagnetic radiation (UEMR) of NGSO systems from 1-26 GHz. On this basis we model the equivalent power flux density (EPFD) of current and future constellations and compare against protection criteria of ITU-R RA.769. The analysis extends to frequencies without radio astronomy allocations where SNIFFLES-I made detections. For geodetic VLBI, we run a Monte-Carlo EPFD model at the AuScope VGOS stations and scale the aggregate from the present catalogued fleet (~12000 satellites) to the hundreds of thousands on file with a validated method. Inverting the EPFD analysis against the interpolated RA.769 thresholds yields maximum tolerable per-satellite levels for spurious emissions and for UEMR, expressed as a field-strength limit in dB(uV/m) at 10 m for standard-setting bodies. We treat proposed orbital-data-centres in Sun-synchronous orbit as a distinctively UEMR-dominated case. We find that already today the single-dish protection criteria are exceeded in two primary RAS bands. For geodetic VLBI, the dominant threat is spurious emission from the 2620 MHz Direct-to-device (DTD) downlink, whose second harmonic at 5240 MHz already causes at least 59% data loss today. (Abstract modified for arxiv limits)