Latest Authoritative News on El Niño

English summary

Time: 2026-07-30 14:52:40

Latest authoritative news on El Niño in 2026 (as of July 30, combining NOAA, WMO, National Climate Center, and National Marine Forecasting Station).

I. Current Status: Officially formed, currently in the **rapid intensification stage**.

1. **Determination data**: Sea surface temperature anomaly in the Niño3.4 core monitoring area: +0.94°C in May (officially entering El Niño), surged to **+1.55°C** in June, and rose to **+1.6°C** in the latest July reading, reaching the **moderate-to-strong El Niño standard (1.5–2.0°C)**. The ocean-atmosphere coupling fully matches El Niño characteristics, no longer just seawater warming; atmospheric circulation responds synchronously, and the event is 100% confirmed.

2. **Intensity & peak time (highly consistent among global agencies)**: - NOAA (US Climate Center): 81% probability of a **super El Niño** in October–December (autumn); …